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PDF Regional population projections for China According to the IMF and based on figures provided by the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the Chinese population amounted to around 1.41 billion people . China vs. India Population (1800-2100p) In 1800, India's population was at a modest 169 million. Infographic Flourish. In 2033, according to our projections, India will overtake an age-hobbled Japan to become the world's third biggest economy. The International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) created a projection of population in China at the national scale from 2010 to 2100 under the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). The results contained the projected yearly provincial population by age, sex, and education attainment under SSPs for China from 2010 to 2100, the projected yearly provincial population urbanization rates under . The once-in-a-decade census released by China on Tuesday said China's population grew at its slowest pace to reach 1.41178 billion, keeping its status as the world's most populous country amid official projections that the numbers may decline from next year. The . The average annual growth rate was 0.53% over the past 10 years, down from a rate of 0.57% . Africapolis. India is expected to overtake China as the world's most populous country by 2027. The projections - made by the UN's Population Division - suggest that by 2027, India will surpass China to become the world's most populous country. Table 4.6 Population projection for China and the LUC-regions under the Low-L2 scenario assumptions for the period 2000-2030 Table 4.7 Main characteristics of the High-H1 scenario assumptions Table 4.8 Population projection for China and the LUC-regions under the High-H1 scenario assumptions for the period 2000-2030 From 1949 to Mao's death in 1976, China's population increased from 540 million to 940 million. The number in this age range will rise by Huge shifts in global age structure. China's population is on track to peak in the coming decade and to decline at an accelerating tempo thereafter. •A very large jump in the population of those 70+ is expected in 2010-2030. The main results are presented in a series of Excel files displaying key demographic indicators for each UN development . Population: 1,402,405,167. But China is soon to be overtaken by India. As of November 2020, China's population stood at 1.412 billion. Projections are always associated with a degree of uncertainty and this means the crossing point could be a few years earlier or later. 15, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce (1961), pp. 3.Materials and Methods 3.1.Data Sources. Third, although current spatial data sets of SSPs population projections are relatively few and coarse, they still can be used to facilitate the regionalization of SSPs population scenarios. Methods: We developed a predictive model to estimate blood supply and demand during 2017-2036 in mainland China and in 31 province-level regions. India will retain positive population growth until the late 2060s under current projections. 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075 2080 2085 2090 2095 2100 1,333,030,632 Population. China's labor force is already beginning to shrink. This statistic shows the population aged between 15 and 29 years in China from 2000 to 2010 with projections until 2050, broken . That is a long-term growth rate of 3.7 percent a year: a breathtaking tempo of growth for any major population group for decades on end, and one that perforce should be expected to shape the nation's . Population, total - China. 4-5; ——, The Size, Composition, and Growth of the Population of Mainland China, International Population Statistics Reports, Series P-90, No. Population projections data can be found in the dataset "Population projections" here. Agglomeration level. India is expected to overtake China as the world's most populous country by 2027. The reason why Chinese estimates vary so little is that we have impressive census data from the turn of the 1st century which counted at . As fertility falls and life expectancy increases worldwide, the number of children under 5 years old is forecasted to decline by 41% from 681 million in 2017 to 401 million in 2100, whilst the number of individuals . By 2100, China is expected to have 374 million fewer people than it does today; China's projected decline in people, in fact, is more than the entire current population of the United States. 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075 2080 2085 2090 2095 2100 1,402,405,167 Population. Even with these measures in place, there are still 34 births per minute in China, but this is the lowest the birth rate has been in seven decades. By 2100, China is expected to have 374 million fewer people than it does today; China's projected decline in people, in fact, is more than the entire current population of the United States. MEurope 747 MNorth America 503 MSouth America 438 MCentral America MOceania MCaribbean McomparisonCountriesChina 1410 MIndia 1407 MUnited States 333 MIndonesia 279 MPakistan 229 MNigeria 217 MBrazil 215 MBangladesh 168 MRussia 144 MMexico 132 Mmore.CitiesTokyo MDelhi. Due to the increase in life expectancy in China, the effect of fewer births on the overall population level is somewhat delayed. Historical population data can be found in the dataset "Historical population data" here. Led by Nigeria, Sub-Saharan Africa is the only region that will continue to see growth by century's end. Choose one country at a time to plot chart and maps. Register. Population projections. Africapolis. With the world's population approximately 7.6 billion, China represents 20% of the people on Earth. United Nations projections are also included through the year 2100. Projections are always associated with a degree of uncertainty and this means the crossing point could be a few years earlier or later. Policies the government has implemented over the years may well result in China losing that top ranking in the near future. PopulationPyramid.net. The Chinese government previously. The population of China in 2019 was 1,433,783,686, a 0.43% increase from 2018. This interactive chart by Our World in Data pulls past and projected population data from the United Nations, comparing the 300-year trajectory of China vs. India to answer this burning question. The exact answer to this question can be given only on the basis of census data. Historical population data. The Earth will be home to 8.8 billion people in 2100, two billion fewer than current UN projections, says new study. If its TFR stabilizes at 1.2—1.2. China's population growth rate is only 0.59%, ranking 159th in the world. The . China and the United States are the most and 3rd most populous country in the world, respectively. China is projected to add only 25 million residents. 3.Materials and Methods 3.1.Data Sources. So China probably had 25% of the world's population in the 1st century. The 2019 Revision of World Population Prospects is the twenty-sixth round of official United Nations population estimates and projections that have been prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences projects China's population will halve by 2100 if the TFR drops from 1.6 to 1.3. Here we uploaded the R code used and results developed in the manuscript: "Provincial and gridded population projection for China under shared socioeconomic pathways from 2010 to 2100". In 2019, India had an estimated population of 1.37 billion and China 1.43 billion, according to the UN figures.. Improvements in access to modern contraception and the education of girls and women are generating widespread, sustained declines in fertility, and world population will likely peak in 2064 at around 9.7 billion, and then decline to about 8.8 billion by 2100—about 2 billion lower than some previous estimates, according to a new study published in The Lancet. Economic Outlook. "China is already trailing India in population terms. The total population in China was estimated at 1443.5 million people in 2020, according to the latest census figures and projections from Trading Economics. The projections - made by the UN's Population Division - suggest that by 2027, India will surpass China to become the world's most populous country. To learn more about world population projections, go to Notes on the World Population Clock. Gross domestic product (annual) Between 2015 and 2040, in these UNPD projections, China's 65+ population would jump by almost 150%: from 135 million to almost 340 million. Third, although current spatial data sets of SSPs population projections are relatively few and coarse, they still can be used to facilitate the regionalization of SSPs population scenarios. In 2035, China will outstrip the U.S. to become the biggest. The elderly population exceeded the youth population in 2017 and is continuing to rise. Total population of China 1980-2026. Trends in population of broad age groups Note: This graph shows the results of medium-variant projections. But it now appears United Nations population projections, which had China's population peaking in the 2030s before levelling off and gradually starting to decline, were off by more than a decade. The populations of both India and China will begin to contract after the mid-century—and it's predicted that China's total population will drop by almost half to 732 million by 2100. Yi estimates that China's population has been shrinking since 2018. Watch video 05:25 China's economic, social, political, educational and diplomatic policies are all based on false demographic data," Yi told DW. Note: This graph shows the results of medium-variant projections. In fact, current population predictions show that China's population will actually drop in the coming decades down to 1,335,573,000 from 1,401,379,000. 31-42 . China - 2050. All trade figures are in U.S. dollars on a nominal basis. Models of population growth take trends in human development, and apply projections into the future. 4: Population predictions of the 101 largest cities in the 21st century. The annual. Country Name Population in 2025 Difference with 2021; India: 1,394,569,610: 112,633,699 people: Europe: 548,801,012: 33,748,234 people: United States: 335,850,924 "The World Population Prospects 2019: Highlights", estimates that the next 30 years will see the global population add an extra 2 billion people to today's figure of 7.7 billion, and, by the end of the century, the planet will have to sustain around 11 billion. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com. Country level. Information for this dataset is no longer updated. ( 1 ) United Nations Population Division. World Population Prospects publishes United Nations population estimates for all world countries and every year from 1950 to 2020, as well as projections for different scenarios (low, middle and high variants) from 2020 to 2100. China's population grew at its slowest pace in decades, according to government data released on Tuesday. World population peak. The population of China in 2020 was 1,439,323,776, a 0.39% increase from 2019. Mao Zedong was a strong advocate for population growth, believing it to be a source of strength for the fledgling People's Republic. "It can be seen that 2018 is a historic turning point in China's population," Dr. Yi . Model parameters were obtained from World Population Prospects, China statistical yearbook 2016, China's report on blood safety and records . Its projected population of 1.6 billion will be almost equal to the populations of the U.S. and China combined. Population projections are attempts to show how the human population living today will change in the future. By 2100, the global population could surpass 11 billion, according to predictions by the UN. According to UNPD or US Census Bureau projections, almost four-fifths of China's projected 2040 population will be 22 or older then—meaning they have already been born at this writing. In China (a) and India (b), the population projections for the SSP1 and SSP5 scenarios are so close that their curves appear to be completely overlapping. India is set to surpass China as the world's most populous country by 2027, according to recent United Nations projections. The projections - made by the UN's Population Division - suggest that by 2027, India will surpass China to become the world . The old -age populationexceeded young in 2017 and is continuing to rise. Country Name Population in 2040 Difference with 2022; India: 1,619,672,639: 337,736,728 people: Europe: 608,322,204: 93,269,426 people: United States: 356,760,086 China population is 4.35 times the US population, with China home to about 1.44 billion people and the United States to 331 million in 2020.The population of China will peak in 2031, but the US will not . China and the United States together account for about 22.7% of the total world population. Objective: To estimate the long-term effect of the changing demography in China on blood supply and demand. To get an idea of how many people live in China today, one must rely on estimates. According to the 2020 census, 91.11% of the population was Han Chinese, and 8.89% were minorities. 1 Mumbai (Bombay), India Population and Vital Statistics. These projections are an important input to forecasts of the population's impact on this planet and humanity's future well-being. In the chart below we see historic and projected population by country, spanning from 10,000 BCE through to 2100. China 1950 1970 1990 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2030 2050 2075 2100 Population Totalpopulation(thousands)... 554419 827601 1176884 1290551 1330776 1368811 1406848 1439324 1464340 1402405 1221580 1064993 TiVA 2021: Principal Indicators. "China is already trailing India in population terms. In 2017, the United Nations Population Division released its World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision, a set of population projections out to the year 2100 for the planet Earth and for individual countries.The United Nations expects the global population— 7.6 billion as of 2017—to reach 11.2 billion by the year 2100. High‐Resolution Gridded Population Projections for China Under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways Yimin Chen1, Xia Li2, Kangning Huang3, Ming Luo1, and Minyi Gao2 1School of Geography and Planning, and Guangdong Key Laboratory for Urbanization and Geo ‐simulation, Sun Yat sen University, Guangzhou, PR China, 2School of Geographic Sciences, and Key Lab of Geographic Information Science India's population is set to rise to 1.09 billion people by 2100. India will overtake China, sub-Saharan Africa population to double Chinese demographers say India will become the world's most populous country earlier than the United Nations' projection of 2027, surpassing China where a steady drop in the birth rate has been recorded in the last few years. Around 2027, India is projected to overtake China as the world's most populous country, while China's population is projected to decrease by 31.4 million, or around 2.2 per cent, between 2019 . The researchers said inaccurate census estimates had obscured the actual population and fertility rates. City population projections for the world's 200 largest cities in 2050 from Hoornweg & Pope's GCIF Working Paper No. By 2100 over 80s will outnumber under 5s around the world by two to one. We obtained the 2010 and 2015 China population maps from the WorldPop Asia data set (Stevens et al., 2015). China's population reached 1 billion in 1982. Download - Excel CSV - Sources. The population of China is projected to decline from 1.4 billion in 2017 to 732 million by 2100, a drop of 48%, according to a new report published in the medical journal The Lancet and authored by. China Population Projection 15-50 Data for admin level 1 are not comparable across countries. The report placed current population growth at 83 million people per . Family planning has for decades been one of China's most controversial social policies. We're just 44 years away from "peak human" — when the world's population will begin to decrease, according to new projections published in The Lancet. Globally, I have seen estimates ranging from 170 million to 400 million. Number of people aged 15-29 years in China by age group 2000-2050. With a population estimated at 1.4 billion people as of 2017, China clearly ranks as the world's most populous country. The country now has 1.37 billion people — second only to China's 1.4 billion — and is expected to add another 230 million by 2050, many of whom will be among the world's poorest. Only Japan has aged faster than China. The figures presented here correspond to middle variant projections for the given year. 5 The population aged 15-64 years peaked in2015 and began to fall 2016. The number of working age people in China is set to fall to 700 million by 2050 - a decline of nearly a quarter, according to a government spokesman. 5.7 11.4 17.4 0.8 3.0 1.4 16.8 7.8 8 3.8 6.6 0 4 12 16 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Year Data source: 2015 projections by the United Nations Population . China's economic, social, political, educational and diplomatic policies are all based on false demographic data," Yi told DW. Historical population data and projections (1950-2060) Population. EU-15 represents the European Union . World Population Prospects: 2019 Revision. With the official birthrate of 1.3 children per woman—far below the replacement rate of 2.1, and in part a result of the now-relaxed one-child policy—there are credible projections that China . According to projections based on the 1982 census, if the one-child policy were maintained to the year 2000, 25% of China's population would be age 65 or older by the year 2040. China - 2060. 10. China's population is likely to peak in 2023, according to a study by online database company Global Demographics and analytics firm Complete Intelligence. China - Population ages 75-79, female (% of female population) China - Population ages 75-79, male (% of male population) China - Population ages 80 and older, female (% of female population) China - Population ages 80 and above, male (% of male population) China - Population ages 0-14 (% of total population) We obtained the 2010 and 2015 China population maps from the WorldPop Asia data set (Stevens et al., 2015). The population aged 15-64 peaked in 2015 and began to fall in 2016. There were 1.412 billion people in China last year, according to the results of a once-a-decade census, up 5.38% from a decade before, but slightly below previous official projections. China's TFR, however, is far lower than 1.3. Population aged 80+ •China‟s population is steadily ageing. Population census in China is conducted each 10 years, with the latest (the sixth) conducted in 2010. This brute fact far outweighs many of the smaller uncertainties highlighted above and in a sense rescues us from them. 11 For further discussion of some of these problems, see Aird, Population Estimates and Projections for the Provinces of the People's Republic of China: 1953 to 1974, pp. China would have 21-22% of the world's population, not 30-32%. To learn more about international trade data, go to Guide to Foreign Trade Statistics. The current population of China in 2021 is 1,444,216,107, a 0.34% increase from 2020. By 2016, China had a population larger than 1.4 billion. In 2050, the number of people over 60 is expected to increase to 430 million. Breaking it down: By 2100, the populations of China, Japan and Italy are expected to be half of what they are today, while sub-Saharan Africa will be home to three times as many people. What is the population of China? By 2050 . China Population 2021 (Live) 1,446,119,787 According to current projections, China's population will finally peak in 2030 with a shrinking labor force and an over-65 population of 240 million. The working-age population has been in decline since 2012, with the number of people aged 16-59 predicted to be 830 million in 2030. Looking back, in the year of 1950, China had a population of 552.0 million people. As of the latest census, the population of China was 1.34 billion. This page provides - China Population - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. Population: 1,333,030,632. Currently China, India and the USA have the three largest populations in the world, but by 2100, this will have changed to India, Nigeria and China, respectively. These models use trend-based-assumptions about how . 9 1India replaces China as the world's most populous country: India's population is expected to increase by 400 million by 2050. In comparison with 2018, the total population in 2065 will be reduced by 26.4%, with the population of children and those in their prime years . China's working-age population will fall 23% by 2050. Watch video 05:25 China is set to experience an extraordinarily rapid surge of population aging, with. ( 2 ) Census reports and other statistical publications from national statistical offices, ( 3 ) Eurostat: Demographic Statistics, ( 4 ) United Nations Statistical Division. By 2030, the median age will reach 42.0 years -3.2 years greater than in 2010 and 19.5 years more than in 1980. 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